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Spotting Market Reversals

author-img 8jg16 August 11, 2024 No Comments

⚠️Lesson 2.3-Spotting Market Reversals: 3 Key Signals Traders Must Know

Knowing when the market is about to reverse can be just as important as identifying a good entry. Spotting reversals early can help you get in at the start of a new trend — or exit a trade before profits evaporate.

In this lesson, we’ll look at three powerful reversal warning signals:

  1. Head and Shoulders pattern

  2. Double Top/Double Bottom

  3. Regular and Hidden Divergence

These tools are best used in higher timeframes to detect potential shifts, and then zooming into smaller timeframes for entry confirmation during pullbacks.


🧠 1. Head and Shoulders Pattern

The Head and Shoulders is one of the most well-known and reliable reversal patterns in trading. It indicates a trend is losing momentum and may be ready to reverse.

Structure:

  • Three peaks

  • Middle peak (the “head”) is the highest

  • Side peaks (the “shoulders”) are lower and roughly symmetrical

How to Trade It:

  • Draw the neckline by connecting the swing lows between the shoulders.

  • Wait for a break of the neckline. That’s your signal.

  • Ideal entries:

    • On the breakout

    • Or the retest of the neckline

      Inverse Head and Shoulders Trading: A Complete Guide | EBC Financial Group

Target:

Measure the distance from the top of the head to the neckline and project it downward from the break.


🔁 2. Double Top / Double Bottom

This reversal pattern occurs when price tests a key level twice but fails to break through.

  • Double Top = Two highs near the same level → bearish reversal

    BTC $ETH Confirmed DOUBLE TOP pattern that must be underst | ELNINNNO LOVERS on Binance Square

  • Double Bottom = Two lows near the same level → bullish reversalDouble Bottom Pattern: How to Trade with Market Reversals

Trading Tip:

  • Avoid entering immediately on the breakout.

  • Instead, wait for a confirmed break and retest or switch to a lower timeframe for refined entry.

Also, be mindful of stop hunts, where price slightly breaches the previous high/low to trigger stops before reversing. These can improve the reliability of the pattern if followed by a strong move in the opposite direction.


📉 3. Divergence: A Momentum-Based Warning

Divergence occurs when price and an oscillator (like RSI or Stochastic) are telling two different stories.

  • Price makes a higher high, but the oscillator makes a lower high → bearish divergence

  • Price makes a lower low, but the oscillator makes a higher low → bullish divergence

Best Oscillators:

  • RSI (14) – widely used and effective

  • Stochastic (8,3,3) – alternative oscillator for confirmation

Divergence helps you avoid false entries by showing weakening momentum, even if price seems to be trending.



🔄 Hidden Divergence: For Trend Continuation

Hidden divergence works in the opposite direction:

  • Use it to confirm a trend continuation, not reversal.

  • In an uptrend: price makes a higher low, but oscillator shows a lower low

  • In a downtrend: price makes a lower high, but oscillator shows a higher high

Example of hidden bearish divergence in a downtrend — price makes lower high, oscillator makes higher high.

These setups are great for confirming pullbacks as re-entry points within an ongoing trend.


🧭 Putting It All Together

Use these reversal signs not in isolation, but as early warnings:

  • Confirm with candlestick patterns, multi-timeframe analysis, and support/resistance zones

  • Then use lower timeframes for precise entries


✅ Summary

Reversal Signal Description Best Use Case
Head & Shoulders Classic 3-peak pattern, signals a trend change Break/retest entry on neckline
Double Top/Bottom Price retests key high/low but fails Bias shift confirmation before entries
Divergence Price vs Oscillator disagreement Detect hidden weakness or strength
Hidden Divergence Confirms trend continuation Low-risk entries in trending markets

 


🚀 Final Thought

Most new traders get caught trying to “catch the top or bottom.” Instead, focus on identifying a potential reversal, wait for confirmation, and then align with the new momentum.

Trade smart, wait for your setup, and remember: the trend is your friend — until it ends.

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